#Odds:
runs<-100
game<-function(){
  results<-sample(c(-1,0,1,2),10,replace=T)
  return(sum(results)>5)
}
sum(replicate(runs,game()))/runs

#Time Series Analysis
require("astsa")
plot(gtemp,xlab="Year",ylab="Deviation",main="Global Temperature Deviations,1880-2015")
acf2(gtemp)
plot(diff(gtemp))
acf2(diff(gtemp))
sarima(gtemp,0,1,1)
sarima.for(gtemp,5,0,1,1)

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