Date
|
Futures Market
|
Price
(yuan/bbl)
|
Gain on Futures Positions
(yuan/bbl)
|
Barrels Calculated in the Spot Market
|
Sept. 12
|
Long 720 lots
|
437.9
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
Oct. 8
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
432.9
|
-5
|
40,000
|
Oct. 9
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
440
|
2.1
|
40,000
|
…
|
…
|
…
|
…
|
…
|
Oct. 16
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
455.7
|
17.8
|
40,000
|
Oct. 17
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
448.5
|
10.6
|
40,000
|
…
|
…
|
…
|
…
|
…
|
Oct. 30
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
454.2
|
16.3
|
40,000
|
Oct. 31
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
452.2
|
14.3
|
40,000
|
Total
(in October)
|
Short 720 lots using TAS
|
449.57 (monthly average)
|
11.67
|
720,000
|
Outcome
|
The gain in the futures market is 449.57-437.9=11.67 yuan/barrel.
The settlement price was locked in to 437.9 yuan/barrel.
The actual trading price was 437.9-7=430.9 yuan/barrel.
|
Date
|
Settlement Price
(yuan/bbl)
|
Barrels Calculated in the Spot Market
|
Futures Market
|
Gain on Futures Positions
(yuan/bbl)
|
Barrels Calculated in the spot Market after Hedging
|
Oct. 8
|
432.9
|
40,000
|
40,000
|
||
…
|
…
|
…
|
|||
Oct. 11
|
451.8
|
40,000
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
N/A
|
|
Oct. 14
|
464.8
|
40,000
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
N/A
|
|
Oct. 15
|
459.4
|
40,000
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
N/A
|
|
Oct. 16
|
455.7
|
40,000
|
Short 40 lots using TAS
|
N/A
|
|
Oct. 17
|
448.5
|
40,000
|
40,000
|
||
Oct. 18
|
444.9
|
40,000
|
Close out 40 lots using TAS
|
6.9
|
80,000
|
Oct. 21
|
446.3
|
40,000
|
Close out 40 lots using TAS
|
18.5
|
80,000
|
Oct. 22
|
442.4
|
40,000
|
Close out 40 lots using TAS
|
17
|
80,000
|
Oct. 23
|
444.7
|
40,000
|
Close out 40 lots using TAS
|
11
|
80,000
|
…
|
…
|
…
|
|||
Oct. 31
|
448.56
|
40,000
|
40,000
|
||
Total
|
449.57
(monthly average)
|
720,000 |
Outcome
|
The gain of 160 lots in the futures market is/4=13.35 yuan/barrel.
Considering the profit in the futures market, the average settlement price per barrel was brought down from 449.57 yuan to 446.6 yuan.
The actual trading price was 446.6-7=439.6 yuan/barrel.
|
Profit/Loss
(yuan)
|
Spot Market
|
Futures Market
|
||
Buy
|
465*2,000=930,000
|
Short
|
461.6*2,000=923,200
|
|
Sell
|
0.9242*1.01*1,000,000
=933,400
|
Close out
|
466.7*2,000=933,400
|
|
Total
|
933,400-930,000=3,400
|
923,200-933,400=-10,200
|
||
Outcome
|
The market maker lost 6,800 yuan in total due to the difference between the short price in the futures market and the purchasing price in the spot market.
|
Profit/Loss
(yuan)
|
Spot Market
|
Futures Market
|
||
Buy
|
465.9*2,000=931,800
|
Short
|
465.9*2,000=931,800
|
|
Sell
|
0.9242*1.01*1,000,000
=933,400
|
Close out
|
466.7*2,000=933,400
|
|
Total
|
Breakeven
|